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By far the greatest potential abiotic hazard for the forests of Europe is associated with winter storms, out of all extreme meteorological events in the past few decades. For the future, the vast majority of available climate model studies suggest even an increase by the year 2100 in all aspects of winter storms over Central Europe. It therefore must be assumed that the risk of winter storm damage will increase in the coming decades and that winter storms will have a major impact on the future structure and composition of forests in Germany.

The aim of the interdisciplinary research project MiStriKli (Minimisation of storm damage against the background of climate change) funded by the Waldklimafonds of the Federal Ministry for Food and Agriculture is to test the hypothesis that a control of the structure and composition of German forests that is adapted to future storm events minimizes the climate change-influenced risk of negative effects of catastrophic storm damage.

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In order to be able to take suitable actions to minimize the future risk of storm damage, damage-relevant storm fields are simulated with high spatial resolution and tree and stand properties are identified, the control of which can minimize the negative effects of the future risk of storm damage. This knowledge enables the creation of a management tool with the support of which strategies can be developed which, taking into account economic and nature conservation-related forest-ecological aspects and the uncertainty inherent in climate projections, contribute to minimizing the negative effects of storm damage in Germany's forests.

Researchers involved


  • Chair of Forestry Economics and Forest Planning, University of Freiburg
  • Abteilung Waldwachstum, Sachgebiet Wachtumsmodellierung / Informatik, Nordwestdeutsche Forstliche Versuchsanstalt
  • Abteilung Waldwachstum, Sachgebiet Waldnaturschutz / Naturwaldforschung, Nordwestdeutsche Forstliche Versuchsanstalt